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Coronavirus Watch

Rising Covid Cases in UK

New Covid cases are reportedly rising in England, UK and not driven by any new variants. Health experts are warning that the new UK Covid wave eventually reach to US.

Dr. Tim Spector, professor of genetic epidemiology at Kings College London, told CNN “Generally, what happens in the UK is reflected about a month later in the US. I think this is what I’ve sort of been seeing. […] Our current data is definitely showing this is the beginning of the next wave.”

The CNN writes “Spector runs the Zoe Health Study, which uses an app to let people in the UK and US report their daily symptoms. If they start to feel bad, they take a home Covid-19 test and record those results. He says that about 500,000 people are currently logging their symptoms every day to help track trends in the pandemic.”

According to data from UK National Health Service (NHS), the data align between the US and UK.

  • “They predicted that we’d get a June to July peak and then there’d be a month where nothing happened in August and then it would flatten in in August and September and then start again in October. So it’s exactly matching what the modelers have have been predicting.
  • “In the US, some models have predicted that Covid-19 cases will begin to rise again in October and continue to increase into the winter. Experts are hopeful that because most of the population now has some underlying immunity to the coronavirus, this wave would be less deadly than we’ve seen in previous winters.

Dr. Peter Hotez, who co-directs the Center for Vaccine Development at Texas Children’s Hospital in Houston, told CNN “Question one is, how significant is that rise? Is it, for instance, the beginning of something, a new wave, or is this a temporary blip because of all of the getting together around the Queen’s funeral and other events that have been going on?”

“That’s the worst possible situation. Because historically, when that situation occurs in the UK, it’s reflected within a matter of weeks in the United States. That was true of the Alpha wave; that was true of the Delta wave; that was true of Omicron and its subvariants,” Hotez added.

according to Christina Pagel, a professor of operational research at University College London, he thinks that cases are going up in the UK because of a combination of waning immunity and behavioral changes, not necessarily due to new variants.