What Third Year of Pandemic Look Like?


In yesterday’s post looked into the Washington Post’s analysis of life in US after two-years of Covid-19 pandemic. The post article was still seeking responses from the public.

The official global death toll from COVID-19 eclipsed 6 million on Monday — underscoring that the pandemic, now entering its third year, is far from over.

Source: AP News

In this CNN Health article, Jen Christensen summarizes what experts think could happened next year in the pandemic?

What will spring and summer be like? “With the combination of our immunity waning and the virus mutating, future surges are unpredictable,” told Dr. Abraar Karan, an infectious disease fellow in the Division of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine at Stanford University.

What about autumn and winter? “With the unpredictability of the coronavirus, it’s hard to know what will happen in the fall and winter. … We might have another surge later this year, even early summer, but if there isn’t one, that’s saying the immunity we’ve built up as a population is doing a good job,” told David Montefiori, a virologist at Duke University Medical Center.

What’s next for vaccines for adults? We may need a fourth shot of Covid-19 again. The CDC has already recommended one for those weakened immune systems. Moderna Chief Medical Officer Dr. Paul Burton told CNN that “the next vaccines could be specifically tuned to the variant — or variants — that are in circulation”.

What’s next for vaccines for kids? “Pfizer is also working on trials of a third vaccine dose for children ages 5 to 11. Children 12 and older can already get a third shot, as can kids 5 and older who are immunocompromised.

What’s next for treatments and tests? According to Bio, a pharmacy industry association, there are 23 antivirals and 63 other treatments in late-stage clinical trials.

What’s next for masks? “People may be sick of them, and masks have become a hot political subject, but broader mask mandates could always come back if case numbers rise and hospitals fill up.

What about money for all these mitigation measures? “Money to pay for the tests and treatments and vaccine research won’t last forever, and more funding is not in the latest federal spending bill. The $15.6 billion earmarkedfor pandemic preparedness got stripped out. That was only half of what the Biden administration had asked for.

What about the long-term consequences of Covid? “Scientists continue to study people with long Covid to try to understand the condition’s symptoms and treatments. As many as 30% who’ve tested positive for the virus may have long-term symptoms like fatigue, breathing trouble, joint and chest pain, and heart problems, studies show.

Will this ever be over? “Covid is here to stay, but the pandemic part could be in our rearview mirror — or at least move into a more manageable stage — if people get vaccinated and boosted,” Dr Lang of WorldClinic medical director.

Coronavirus-19 vaccination watch

According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) COVID vaccination tracker page (as of March 15, 9 a.m.) 696,302,775 doses have been distributed and 557,407,604 doses administered. According MDH COVID-19 Response vaccine data a total of 9,470,459 doses of Covid-19 (Pfizer & Moderna) vaccines have been administered in Minnesota. According to the MDH latest tally (as of March 15) the confirmed COVID-19 cases in Minnesota are 1,422,815 (out of 18,981,873 tested) with 12,289 deaths.